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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
95
Top 5% · #1 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
57
11 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
59.6%
34 correct / 23 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg return / call
+3.36%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+191.8%
Equal stake on all 57 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+1.97%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (91) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 54.7% | 97 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −39.0% | 86 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.97% | 86 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
131 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH remains to be in a beautiful accumulation area, where I'd expect it to be breaking upwards in the coming period. Regulation will come for digital assets, maybe not through the Clarity Act, but for sure through a different way. https://t.co/4QzA7AOCI5”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
90 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 97 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“Rejection at the $76,200 area, means that we're going down further with #Bitcoin. That's fine. We're looking at a technical correction and we're about to sweep those lows again and potentially get to $74,000. That's where I'm going to be interested. https://t.co/kkRN8fpQwl”
“I'm positively surprised by the price action of #Bitcoin so far. Not dumping through, little bounce back upwards. Everyone, their mother, their cousin and their grandmom are currently shorting #Bitcoin as a shock event, but I don't think that's the play when we've been sweeping the lows.”
“A scenario where there's a classic sweep of the lows, just before the Clarity Act gets approved, and the bull resumes afterwards. I'd buy that. It's going to be super volatile coming few days for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/5fxtIX7e4d”
“I'm looking at a bullish continuation for #Bitcoin here. Mentioned it earlier, but we need to be looking at $78,000 as support. As long as that happens, we're likely going to see a strong move upwards to $81,000 from here. https://t.co/o5wpj0H6AF”
“Monitoring the chart on #Bitcoin tells my gut that we're most likely not going to fall that deep. Effectively, we're currently at range low and #Altcoins are showing some interesting signs that they want to proceed again. #Bitcoin needs to reclaim $78,000, but once that happens, we might be in for the next rally towards $90,000 over the next few weeks. (And yes, if this corrects to $74,000, because $78,000 doesn't break, I'm still buying)”
“This is such a phenomenal chart. $ETH vs. bitcoin:native signals that we're likely going to get more momentum this month on Ethereum as it's holding a higher timeframe support level. Would assume that the Clarity Act will help in that. https://t.co/mlYtLsf7il”
“Surely, if you zoom out on the weekly timeframe for ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1, it's literally just starting up. There's still so much upside to come. Doesn't mean that you need to go all-in on the lower timeframes at this current run. Just accumulate on every correction, there will be wipeouts this month and next month.”
“Surely, if you zoom out on the weekly timeframe for ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1, it's literally just starting up. There's still so much upside to come. Doesn't mean that you need to go all-in on the lower timeframes at this current run. Just accumulate on every correction, there will be wipeouts this month and next month.”
“$ETH vs. bitcoin:native remains to be going sideways and looks to be going into a great entry zone here. I expect $ETH to outperform Bitcoin for the coming month due to the Clarity Act approval. https://t.co/SjQnnp2ACP”
“Most likely a lot of people will be left behind waiting for $60K to happen again. If this sweeps $75.5K and hits $74K, it will probably be bought up rather quickly for #Bitcoin. Bull markets don't give deep retraces. If this consolidates here and grinds back up, we'll see $90K in September/October and the low is in.”