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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
97
Top 3% · #1 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
221
11 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
60.5%
133 correct / 87 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
+3.92%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+866.1%
Equal stake on all 221 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+3.04%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (96) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 60.7% | 100 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −51.9% | 91 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +3.04% | 94 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
561 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“As long as $ETH remains above $1,800, the price action to me looks to be a bullish consolidation before continuation. If the $1,800 area is lost = terrible sign and we're going to test the lows. However, given that we're making higher timeframe bullish divergences I much rather bet on the outcome that the markets will break upwards rather than downwards.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.33 | 97 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“Gold is about to have its relief rally up, just like it did in the previous bull run in 2011. I would assume that this is going to last until $4,800-5,200 and then it stalls again, and drops back down. I'm not expecting to see another run towards new ATHs for Gold, yet. I do expect to see #Bitcoin to follow in tandem and to outperform Gold in the same window.”
“The fact that #Crypto & #Bitcoin are a complete ghosttown isn't bad. It's a sign of the markets providing a tremendous opportunity to accumulate. Recent bear market Bitcoin's price was $16,000. Current bear market Bitcoin's price is $60,000. Those floors have got a CAGR of 39%. An enormous growth rate to simply accumulating Bitcoin at these valuations and to be continuing to be holding it. This is the right time to do so.”
“#Bitcoin continues to consolidate, meaning that volatility remains low. However: - Oil has come down. - Gold has gone up. - Yields have dropped slightly. - Dollar is weak. - Nasdaq keeps running up. Meaning that, in general, there's just a matter of time before Bitcoin should be breaking upwards.”
“If the Clarity Act passes in the coming week, it's been quite clear that the markets have been pushed back until that news was about to arrive. It would mean the start of the bull cycle for #Bitcoin & #Altcoins.”
“Ladies and gentlemen, It is time. $ETH is breaking out and it’s time for the crypto bull market.”
“@TedPillows $ETH before #Bitcoin”
“@TedPillows $ETH before #Bitcoin”
“That's why #Bitcoin's fair price is currently $160,000+. Matter of time until it reverses back upwards and the moment it does that, a lot of people will be left behind. https://t.co/YrVXlZyI71”
“@AshCrypto That's the thing, it will eventually catch up.”
“$MARSCOIN has reached a new all-time high today. It's up more than 100% in just a few days as it's just the start of the new big narrative as Binance jumped in now too. I'm super excited about this as their are nice rewards involved too + strong communities. Finally a new narrative that traders can focus on where everyone can win.”
“Very simple: $ETH holds a crucial support level at $1,800. What does that mean? A breakout to $2,000+ is simply on the horizon, and I think we'll see $2,300-2,500. https://t.co/EjGHRoZCVx”
“Oil is coming down. Yields are coming down. Dollar is weakening. Nasdaq is printing massively. About time that #Bitcoin starts to pick up the pace, and it looks great for a bullish breakout. If that happens, $73,000 is my first area that I think it should go to. https://t.co/rpDm0JQKK5”
“The next leg upwards for #Bitcoin will be to the $85,000 area. That's where the 50-Week MA currently lies and that's what I'm expecting to see as the next hurdle to take. I don't think we'll dive deeper as much for #Bitcoin as of yet, as most of the pain (90-95%) of the bear market is already in.”
“This remains to be the area to be buying the dip on $SOL vs. $BTC. You're willing to be bidding here, not when it goes up massively. Quite honestly, I think a 50-80% return is possible from this region in the coming 1-2 months. https://t.co/mUQkMc3nmO”