@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
97
Top 3% · #1 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
221
11 pending · 4 unresolved
Hit rate
60.5%
133 correct / 87 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
+3.90%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+863.0%
Equal stake on all 221 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+3.02%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (96) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 60.4% | 100 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −51.9% | 91 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +3.02% | 94 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
562 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The point is that in five years from now, nobody cares whether you've bought at $60,000 or at $55,000. The most important is that you have been buying #Bitcoin. Just like nobody cares whether you did this at $20,000 or $16,000 four years ago. Don't wait for the ultimate bottom.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.33 | 97 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“#Bitcoin is stuck in a consolidation. Whether or not we're going to see another drop towards the lows doesn't really matter that much. It's all about, what's after that? The next part is a rally towards the 50-Week MA. At this point it's at $83,500 and that's where I think we'll find resistance. Depending on the coming weeks, this could be happening in Q4.”
“The interesting part remains that #Altcoins are acting substantially stronger than Bitcoin. As an example: $ETH. It's climbing upwards against Bitcoin as it's attacking the 0.03 level. I do expect to see a liquidity flush taking place when the markets are going to see a sweep lower for Bitcoin, however, the trend is clear: - Bitcoin consolidating and grinding higher. - That results into altcoins doing great.”
“The interesting part remains that #Altcoins are acting substantially stronger than Bitcoin. As an example: $ETH. It's climbing upwards against Bitcoin as it's attacking the 0.03 level. I do expect to see a liquidity flush taking place when the markets are going to see a sweep lower for Bitcoin, however, the trend is clear: - Bitcoin consolidating and grinding higher. - That results into altcoins doing great.”
“We're at the end stage of the bear market for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/VLMSKv8KVC”
“#Bitcoin remains to be at the same level as a week ago. It's stuck in a range. Given that there's a ton of liquidity beneath us to grab, I wouldn't be surprised with a test between $60,000-61,000 to be confirming the higher low. Overall, I don't think that accumulating positions in this region is a stupid decision.”
“I often phrase this coming cycle as the 'Last Easy Cycle'. Why? The coming cycle of #Crypto & #Bitcoin will likely drag the entire financial system down. The system is fueled with debt, and when liquidity finds a better spot to park the cash, the system falls. That's why the next peak on #Bitcoin will be the high on all markets and then we'll go into a way longer bear market on all assets. Bet big on crypto.”
“All of the assets are going up, except for #Crypto and #Bitcoin. However, once they start to move, it will be the biggest gain ever. I honestly think that this is the best opportunity of a lifetime in crypto you'll get. Buy your assets. Be patient. Stick to the game.”
“The data comes out and it's better than projected. PPI: PPI Y/Y: 4.7% vs 4.9% exp PPI M/M: 0.0% vs 0.2% exp Core PPI Y/Y: 4.2% vs 4.2% exp Core PPI M/M: 0.2% vs 0.3% exp That means that PPI shows that inflation is getting lower, and therefore, markets are reacting in a positive manner. The Yields (2-Year) are in a downtrend for the first time since March '26. Great signs for #Bitcoin.”
“It's quite clear that a volatile move is on the horizon and that it won't take long. $ETH's range is getting smaller day after day and, so far, it looks to me as if we're going to continue moving upwards with this structure. Remaining positive for the coming period. https://t.co/3yYh9noL6W”
“The single best period to accumulate #Bitcoin was in every bear market period around the low. The second best period is now. In hindsight, we'd be looking at this period as a phenomenal opportunity to be accumulating positions.”
“It's been more than a month that we've seen some volatility on #Bitcoin. Don't trap yourself. Accumulate positions and remain patient.”
“$BTQ is going for it. Another rally is taking place after this level and it's already up 40%. I still believe that it's bound for a rally towards $9-10. It's holding above the daily 21-MA and 50-MA indicating that we're seeing a lot of strength + a higher low is made. What's next? A higher high above $6, which means likely that we'll see that target of $9-10.”
“Robinhood Chain is killing it. A few weeks ago, active users weekly: 300K Currently: 1.9M and it's just wednesday. An enormous amount of growth, as onchain activity has accelerated and people are looking to trade more. Coins like $CASHCAT, $HMM, $ANSEM, $PONS are doing great. What's the thesis for me? Very simple: ➡️ Robinhood Chain wakes up the onchain activity and average #Crypto trader. ➡️ $PUMP becomes active again. ➡️ As a consequence, all DEXes on $SOL are going to be active again. ➡️ $SOL breaks out upwards, activating even more traders. ➡️ Other L1s like $SUI will follow the path. ➡️ We'll have a short window of momentum on the #Crypto markets dragging the rest along. It's the first time in a long period I've seen this traction picking up momentum that's impressive and shows the demand for crypto.”
“Robinhood Chain is killing it. A few weeks ago, active users weekly: 300K Currently: 1.9M and it's just wednesday. An enormous amount of growth, as onchain activity has accelerated and people are looking to trade more. Coins like $CASHCAT, $HMM, $ANSEM, $PONS are doing great. What's the thesis for me? Very simple: ➡️ Robinhood Chain wakes up the onchain activity and average #Crypto trader. ➡️ $PUMP becomes active again. ➡️ As a consequence, all DEXes on $SOL are going to be active again. ➡️ $SOL breaks out upwards, activating even more traders. ➡️ Other L1s like $SUI will follow the path. ➡️ We'll have a short window of momentum on the #Crypto markets dragging the rest along. It's the first time in a long period I've seen this traction picking up momentum that's impressive and shows the demand for crypto.”