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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
75
Top 25% · #5 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
214
1 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
53.8%
114 correct / 98 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.69%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+146.9%
Equal stake on all 214 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.43%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (67) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 52.9% | 91 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −39.0% | 25 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.43% | 38 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
542 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@TedPillows I don't think that this is the case, honestly. It looks way more like the first breakout in 2022, meaning that we can easily go up fastly here and just not go as low as everyone wants, as there's so much liquidity sidelined.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
95 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.14 | 84 | 25% |
90 days · 24h
“So many #Altcoins look phenomenal at this point. #Bitcoin has been breaking out upwards due to a strong weekly bullish divergence. Now, ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is following through with that move. However, other assets like sei-network:native are having similar moves. This can easily turn into a 5-10x on many of those altcoins.”
“So many #Altcoins look phenomenal at this point. #Bitcoin has been breaking out upwards due to a strong weekly bullish divergence. Now, ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is following through with that move. However, other assets like sei-network:native are having similar moves. This can easily turn into a 5-10x on many of those altcoins.”
“The fun part is that ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 has barely begun trending upwards. I think that there's a lot more upside to come, given that there are multiple higher timeframe bullish divergences. https://t.co/lsgd6Ncot5”
“The fun part is that ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 has barely begun trending upwards. I think that there's a lot more upside to come, given that there are multiple higher timeframe bullish divergences. https://t.co/lsgd6Ncot5”
“Nothing changes on the picture for bitcoin:native, aside from the fact that we're slowly building bullish divergences on lower timeframes. https://t.co/UuKVXypCO3”
“When it comes to $ETH, there are three levels to monitor here. I'm looking at a case of $2,355 sweep first, and that probably drags it to $2,300 of which I'd like to start building a position. Best case: $2,200 would be the ideal spot for long entries. However, ultimately, this dip is to get yourself positioned before $ETH goes to $3,000.”
“The answer is: not yet, for #Bitcoin. Clearly rejecting at $77,700 and therefore expecting to see a sweep of the recent low at $76,400 and a test at the zone at $76,200. If that doesn't hold, we'll see a tremendous opportunity at $74,000 as a potential test and entry zone. https://t.co/fC6rquFdqU https://t.co/DOTm6Nym0w”
“As #Bitcoin is likely to break to the upside, I would expect to see a strong breakout of $SUI on the horizon. Breaking through $0.7330 triggers that move and the next stop then should be $0.87-0.90. I would also not be surprised if the BTC pair starts to break out and the trend goes to $1.50.”
“This is very likely going to break upwards. The reasoning behind that is super simple, as it's currently been taking the liquidity beneath the lows. Next stop: $82,700 for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/1zhVnf6iMZ”
“Thank you very much, sweep of the lows has happened on #Bitcoin and that was much needed. I don't think we'll drop much from here, much rather we continue to go sideways in this range before we'll take out higher. The best part: #Altcoins are holding up quite nicely vs. Bitcoin. Time to see the next rally.”
“The chart of #Bitcoin remains unchanged as the choppiness continues. It's clear that #Altcoins are looking to break upwards, as most of them are trending up against bitcoin:native. However, I wouldn't be surprised if there's a little sweep on Bitcoin to take the liquidity and get ourselves at $76,000 as a potential entry zone.”
“Given that #Bitcoin is clearly remaining in this range, I assume that we'll start to see more and more #Altcoins break out against Bitcoin as the momentum shifts. Multiple reasons: 1 - Updates are finally being posted as the market sentiment has shifted. 2 - Liquidity will flow from Bitcoin towards other assets as the upside is relatively capped on #Bitcoin, for now.”
“I wouldn't be surprised if bitcoin:native is taking the lows and finds itself back again at either $76K or $77K. The range is clearly defined, and what does that mean? Exactly, below the range low and/or the range low is where I'm getting interested. https://t.co/MtBKHGE6CA”
“#Bitcoin remains to be stuck in the range, which means that, after rejecting the highs, I wouldn't be surprised if we're going to be seeing a little sweep towards the lows again. https://t.co/5GXe7I1Bad”