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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
71
Top 30% · #7 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
402
0 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
50.3%
198 correct / 196 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.12%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+49.1%
Equal stake on all 402 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.14%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (63) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 49.9% | 39 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.0% | 21 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.14% | 64 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“A lot of people will be surprised by the upcoming bull cycle on #Bitcoin. Why? The previous one was so shallow, didn't extend to the upside, that a lot of people are going to plan solely based on that cycle. They'll end up selling too early. This cycle #Bitcoin to $500,000+ is on the table.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.25 | 85 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“Just like that, the entire correction on #Bitcoin due to the Strait of Hormuz has already faded away. Short-term volatility will remain due to this conflict, although, the markets look ready to rip upwards. https://t.co/P9epfaav7Z”
“@QuintenFrancois It's one of the best assets to buy at this point, yet, nobody wants to do that.”
“A lot of people are mocking on $MSTR. It's actually a great opportunity to be allocating into $MSTR, $BTC. The previous bear market the mNAV was way worse than current conditions and he has even strengthened his entire position. This won't last long, and probably we're swimming around the #Bitcoin bottom.”
“#Ethereum looks more bullish than #Bitcoin at this point. I expect to see this one continue to break upwards and to run all the way towards $2,400+ to reverse the trend. This period reminds me of the period we've witnessed in June of '25, just before the big breakout. https://t.co/eBr71LWjro”
“Michael Saylor sold some #Bitcoin last week to strengthen his entire core position. By doing that, he's got the capabilities of buying way more #Bitcoin in the process forwards. Expecting to see strong positive numbers from here. https://t.co/BvaZTljTUq”
“This is our most succesful episode on YouTube already. New Era Finance continues to grow bigger and bigger, with the best guests possible. I do think that $ETH is the best investment to make compared to #Bitcoin. It's also the most hated trade to take and that's why I think it will surprise everyone. Robinhood Chain and Lighter have provided big reasons for a narrative on why Ethereum should do well. It's been a true pleasure to be having @fundstrat on the show and people are mocking him, but I'm sure that he'll be right along the way as Ethereum is on its path towards $10,000.”
“The Strait of Hormuz is closed. The moment the news came out, the #Bitcoin price dumped immediately. However, it's still hovering around $64,000 and that's actually a good sign. I'm interested to see how the Monday markets will be opening across the board, but I'm not expecting to see a big dump, much rather I expect a breakout above $65,000 in the coming 1-2 weeks.”
“@QuintenFrancois @FrankAFetter Yes, and that's why you accumulate during these periods and not when your barber starts talking about #Bitcoin again.”
“@TedPillows To be honest, but in which world is Bitcoin, a riskier asset, drop less than the S&P?”
“Funny enough, the Others/BTC chart has already flipped into a bull cycle. The last time this flip happened was during the 2023/2024 period (and the last altcoin runs with $SUI doing a 10x, $SEI doing a 10x). The actual last time this flip has happened was during the period after 2018's bottom. After that, the markets have gone into a bull cycle for 2 years. This time, it's flipping the MA's for support for the first time since the entire bear market has started: 2022. Four years of pain, all going to fade away in the coming 1-2 years.”
“The business cycle is heating up. It takes time before this is going to be visible in #Crypto and #Bitcoin, as there's a lag depending on the risk appetite that investors are willing to take. In the current market sentiment, which is the worst I've ever seen, I think it will take some more weeks before we start to see it. That's why the $65,000 #Bitcoin breakout is vital, as that would trigger a lot of strength for altcoins to come.”
“The reason that I'm thinking that the area at $82,000+ is an important point for #Bitcoin is due to the fact that this area has always been a resistance. In every previous cycle, Bitcoin makes a first run out of the bear market towards the 50-Week MA. Then, it stalls and corrects, before the markets continue to expand. Essentially, in those cycles, the 21-MA becomes support. The coming period we'll start to see what happens, however: - Breaking 21-Week MA = indication that we're going to see continuation towards the 50-Week MA. - Breaking 21-Week MA = end of bear market. Target zone: 50-Week MA and then a consolidation before it continues towards a new ATH.”
“@coinmamba Probably it will go higher than that in the coming cycle.”
“@JamesEastonUK Any of these bottoms correlate with the previous bottoms in price. However, people will always find an argument or reason for not buying here. That's how markets work.”