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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
71
Top 30% · #7 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
402
0 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
50.3%
198 correct / 196 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.12%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+49.1%
Equal stake on all 402 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.14%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (63) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 49.9% | 39 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.0% | 21 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.14% | 64 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#Bitcoin looks fine, still. However, it couldn't break through the $65,000 area and correlates highly with all risk-on markets today. It's friday, which usually means: it's time for a correction, and that's what the markets are showing. Crucial levels for party: $65,000. Crucial levels to avoid bear: $60,000-61,000 hold. If that latter doesn't happen, then it's very likely that we'll be making new lows.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.25 | 85 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“Big day today, as volatility on all markets are picking up. Japanese stock markets have seen a harsh drop. It's very likely that we're going to see the same on the Nasdaq and #Bitcoin today.”
“Nothing changed on $BTC. It's looking great for upside momentum from here, even despite the recent correction. Clear breakthrough above $65K, and we're still going to see a strong run. https://t.co/tT6YAakMsI”
“@TedPillows it's just a minimal correction in a larger uptrend. It broke out of a downtrend for the first time in a year.”
“The markets are in a buy the dip type of market. $ETH is pulling back slightly, which means it gives an ideal opportunity to buy some. People heavily underestimate how a bull market can be.”
“@KevinWSHPod That’s correct, and that’s with Bitcoin alone already.”
“@QuintenFrancois It’s about time for the breakout, $ETH leading the way.”
“It would be the absolute best thing if the #Crypto markets continue to go up from here. My base case is that #Bitcoin rallies to $80-85K, where it tests the 50-Week MA. In that period, #Altcoins do a 2-8X and wake up out of their bear market. September-October; correction to $65-70K on #Bitcoin and then, the first real leg upwards to a new ATH in December/January of 2027.”
“Great move on $ETH vs. $BTC and it's the first real upwards move in over a year. #Altcoins have suffered a lot and a ton of people will likely still have PTSD from it. However, in the short-term, I think $ETH vs. $BTC might be consolidating and correcting for a bit. Why? I would expect to see a strong breakout of $BTC upwards and that usually drags down most of the #Altcoin pairs. After that, I'd expect to see more money flowing into altcoins.”
“Great move on $ETH vs. $BTC and it's the first real upwards move in over a year. #Altcoins have suffered a lot and a ton of people will likely still have PTSD from it. However, in the short-term, I think $ETH vs. $BTC might be consolidating and correcting for a bit. Why? I would expect to see a strong breakout of $BTC upwards and that usually drags down most of the #Altcoin pairs. After that, I'd expect to see more money flowing into altcoins.”
“Phenomenal move of $ETH, and easily carrying the markets. There's a lot more upside going to come on this one, and I think it's simply in a 'Buy the dip' regime. Really doubt we'll start to see a lot more new lows coming in on the markets. I think it's the opposite. https://t.co/wmaZqvt2ay”
“#Bitcoin looks ready for a next leg upwards. It's already above the daily MA's and it's primed for a breakout further up. Clear breakout above $65,000 would signal this move and then, $80,000 in August is on the cards. https://t.co/rm318K4RC9”
“@andyyy Bullish on $ONDO, $PLUME and $SOL.”
“@andyyy Bullish on $ONDO, $PLUME and $SOL.”
“The more that the Yields come down, the heavier the move on #Crypto will be. There's a direct positive correlation between $ETH and the Yields. If this breaks down next week, I'm sure that we'll see a continued leg on #Ethereum towards $2,000+. https://t.co/FZgqlDChtp”