@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
71
Top 30% · #7 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
402
0 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
50.3%
198 correct / 196 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.12%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+49.1%
Equal stake on all 402 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.14%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (63) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 49.9% | 39 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −16.0% | 21 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.14% | 64 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
1075 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Looks to me as if we're going to see a strong breakout on $PLUME. RWA season is in full force, meaning that I'm accumulating positions massively. https://t.co/H1IXSrue9C”
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @CryptoMichNL head to head.
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.25 | 85 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“Rangebound construction on #Bitcoin. I repeat that I think that <$76,000 is a fabulous area to be buying for longs. At this point, as it continues to range, I think that focusing towards #Altcoins makes more sense going forward. Especially since the on-chain activity is going crazy.”
“Weekly bullish divergences take a little bit of time, which is fine. However, in that regard: ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is looking great. Sure, we're seeing a correction here, but sooner than later Bitcoin pairs will start to get momentum and we'll see this weekly bullish divergence come to play and be confirmed.”
“Weekly bullish divergences take a little bit of time, which is fine. However, in that regard: ethereum:0xb50721bcf8d664c30412cfbc6cf7a15145234ad1 is looking great. Sure, we're seeing a correction here, but sooner than later Bitcoin pairs will start to get momentum and we'll see this weekly bullish divergence come to play and be confirmed.”
“If this is a true breakout on $ETH, we're expecting to see a lot more upside, probablyanother leg. My expectations are that the next leg goes to $3,200, perhaps even $3,500 and stalls from there. Don't sell your positions too early. https://t.co/YXxmvktELn”
“It would be absolutely great if this reclaims the previous level at $78,000 and continues to grind higher. #Bitcoin doesn't retrace much in bull markets. https://t.co/dXVwlF9XpC”
“Most likely a lot of people will be left behind waiting for $60K to happen again. If this sweeps $75.5K and hits $74K, it will probably be bought up rather quickly for #Bitcoin. Bull markets don't give deep retraces. If this consolidates here and grinds back up, we'll see $90K in September/October and the low is in.”
“It's time to turn this absolute monstrosity of a chart into an upwards trending chart for $SUI. I'm expecting to see one more drop down (perhaps) and then we're good to go back upwards again. Will probably fall in line with #Bitcoin reclaiming $78,000. https://t.co/4rTfVdgpYi”
“I remember these periods from 2023. Everyone expected deep retraces to be taking place in the markets. Neither of those happened in #Bitcoin, as it kept grinding higher. That's similar to the current period. Sure, we can have a test at $75,000 or even $72,000. However, given the fact that so many are currently sidelined, and if we're truly in a bull market, these will be quickly bought up.”
“At first I had the assumption that we were going to bounce up quickly. However, fast rejection at $78,000 marks weakness for #Bitcoin. If this continues to fall, just like last week, we might get some more liquidation wicks and the following levels become important to me: $75,800-76,200 $74,000 Those are likely going to be ideal for accumulation purposes.”
“All liquidity taken on the downside, and we should be good for now. I'm looking at #Altcoins from this point on, as I don't think we'll continue to fall with Bitcoin on a heavily note. Liquidations have taken place, all lows have been taken out, and probably we'll go sideways and give #Altcoins their time.”
“Over the past 14 months, our primary goal was to avoid excessive losses in the fund. Why? The markets have been an absolute terrible state. #Bitcoin dropped by 50% since our launch. Ethereum has corrected more, not to speak of #Altcoins. Our current state is that we've outperformed Bitcoin by 25% in that period of time and we're expecting to see the start of the bull market from here. Interested into allocating funds into the markets? Feel free to go to our website, read our information and schedule a call/office visit with me or my team.”
“Over the past 14 months, our primary goal was to avoid excessive losses in the fund. Why? The markets have been an absolute terrible state. #Bitcoin dropped by 50% since our launch. Ethereum has corrected more, not to speak of #Altcoins. Our current state is that we've outperformed Bitcoin by 25% in that period of time and we're expecting to see the start of the bull market from here. Interested into allocating funds into the markets? Feel free to go to our website, read our information and schedule a call/office visit with me or my team.”
“It's going to be great to see a leverage liquidity crash to happen on #Bitcoin (of 2-5%) and everyone screaming for the bear market again, while it's just going to stagnate. Fun times.”
“Nice sweep of the highs of #Bitcoin yesterday, after holding above $79,000. It's not favouring a lot more upside from here, yet. Much rather, I'm eyeing $79,300 as a potential support level and likely $77,900 and/or $76,900 for a quick test. We'll need to be getting used to this range that we're acting in. If it gets towards those lower levels, then it's time to be looking at entry points.”