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@CryptoHayes · Arthur Hayes, CEO of @Flop_Labs & CIO @Maelstromfund
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 11 more calls to rank
Scored calls
4
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
100.0%
1 correct / 0 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.17%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+0.7%
Equal stake on all 4 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.21%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (46) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 100.0% | 88 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.1% | 59 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.21% | 44 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
90 days · 1h
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 23.1% |
13 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.38 | 28 | 25% |