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@CryptoBusy · Crypto Educators & Market Analyst | #Bitcoin Trader Since 2017 | Early-Stage Alpha Hunter: RWA, AI, DePIN, L1/L2, Web3 Gaming
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
17
Top 83% · #18 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
108
3 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
49.1%
28 correct / 29 incorrect · 51 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.57%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-62.0%
Equal stake on all 108 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.89%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (36) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.7% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −107.9% | 48 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.89% | 21 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
3 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Only 4.4% of $BTC moved by holders who bought 6-12 months ago was sent to exchanges in the last 30 days, down from 40.4% in May-June. This suggests that holders who bought at higher prices are becoming less willing to sell. A positive sign for Bitcoin, but fresh buying demand is still needed to push prices higher.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 88.9% |
70 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.11 | 15 | 25% |
All time · stated
“On-chain data shows that whale balances are rising as $BTC continues its recovery. What's interesting is that large holders are still accumulating even after BTC's recent price increase. A bullish sign for $BTC, especially if accumulation continues while selling pressure remains low.”
“ethereum:0xe28b3b32b6c345a34ff64674606124dd5aceca30 last major base was followed by a breakout and a roughly 1,517% rally, as marked on this chart. Now, price is testing the top of another range, while sitting roughly 85% below its previous peak. Tbh this is why im into @injective rn. They are pushing RWAs, privacy, and broader ecosystem access, I can see the case for another strong move if those developments bring real usage.”