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@CryptoBusy · Crypto Educators & Market Analyst | #Bitcoin Trader Since 2017 | Early-Stage Alpha Hunter: RWA, AI, DePIN, L1/L2, Web3 Gaming
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
21
Top 80% · #18 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
111
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
48.5%
50 correct / 53 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.01%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-1.4%
Equal stake on all 111 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.01%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (34) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 47.4% | 18 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −9.7% | 52 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.01% | 21 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
208 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@DaanCrypto Interesting setup because equal lows tend to attract attention from both buyers and liquidity hunters. The reaction at these levels will probably matter more than the breakdown itself.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 92.6% |
73 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.02 | 24 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“bitcoin:native is telling you something on the 4H. The $60-62K zone has now become one of the most established support levels on the entire BTC chart. Buyers have shown up here twice. Both times with conviction. Watch closely. 👀 https://t.co/Gx0FrVCfMT https://t.co/dmHop7vOdx”
“Public companies now hold 1.14M bitcoin:native Worth $74.07B at current prices. And the chart tells a story most people are missing. Look at the blue bars - bitcoin:native holdings. They have gone up every single month since January 2025. But here's what we are seeing: Price dropped from $109K to $60K But the bars kept going up. The gold line is the dollar value of those holdings. It dropped with price - that is expected. But the bitcoin:native count never dropped. Big institutions are accumulating more during dips. From 450K BTC in January 2025 to 1.14M BTC today. That is a 2.5x increase in holdings during one of the worst drawdowns in crypto. Public companies are not trading BTC. I still think the repricing is coming.”
“@TedPillows This is where patience matters. Ethereum needs strong spot demand to shift momentum, otherwise sellers will likely continue defending those overhead levels.”
“@CryptoTony__ This feels like a wait-and-see environment. Until Bitcoin decisively reclaims overhead liquidity, patience is probably a better strategy than forcing entries.”
“@Nebraskangooner $ETH still looks weak from a market structure perspective. Until key levels are reclaimed, protecting capital and waiting for confirmation is probably the better approach.”
“The crypto RSI heatmap just told you everything you need to know about the market. Average RSI: 42.08 That's firmly in oversold territory. 8.7% of coins oversold. Only 1.3% overbought. Here's what the heatmap is showing across the major assets right now: OVERSOLD - potential bounce setups: - bitcoin:native RSI 38 - $ETH RSI 38 - $XRP RSI 40 - $DOGE RSI 32 - $LINK RSI 42 - $ONDO RSI 42 NEUTRAL - holding steady: - $SOL RSI 45 - $XLM RSI 48 - $AERO RSI 65 - $NEAR RSI 48 OVERBOUGHT - names that already moved: - $RAIN RSI 78 - $SYN RSI 88 - $ANTFUN RSI 87 But historically, when average RSI sits below 42 for extended periods, the snapback is usually sharp.”
“The crypto RSI heatmap just told you everything you need to know about the market. Average RSI: 42.08 That's firmly in oversold territory. 8.7% of coins oversold. Only 1.3% overbought. Here's what the heatmap is showing across the major assets right now: OVERSOLD - potential bounce setups: - bitcoin:native RSI 38 - $ETH RSI 38 - $XRP RSI 40 - $DOGE RSI 32 - $LINK RSI 42 - $ONDO RSI 42 NEUTRAL - holding steady: - $SOL RSI 45 - $XLM RSI 48 - $AERO RSI 65 - $NEAR RSI 48 OVERBOUGHT - names that already moved: - $RAIN RSI 78 - $SYN RSI 88 - $ANTFUN RSI 87 But historically, when average RSI sits below 42 for extended periods, the snapback is usually sharp.”
“@CryptoTony__ key things to watch!”
“@Peter_thoc This is a good reminder that liquidity still drives a large part of every cycle. When macro conditions start improving, capital usually moves down the risk curve and benefits altcoins.”
“@CryptoGirlNova Markets often become the most pessimistic near important levels. If Ethereum can combine technical strength with meaningful upgrades, sentiment could shift much faster than people expect.”
“@TedPillows @grok explain this further”
“@eyezenhour ETH/BTC is starting to look more interesting again. If these levels continue holding, it could signal the beginning of a rotation back into Ethereum after months of underperformance.”
“@MartiniGuyYT Interesting observation. Rejections from range highs followed by losing mid-range support usually signal caution, especially when liquidity is sitting lower around key levels.”
“@Nebraskangooner Interesting bearish setup. Failed recoveries often become more important than the initial breakdown itself, especially if buyers can't reclaim key levels quickly.”