@CryptoBusy · Crypto Educators & Market Analyst | #Bitcoin Trader Since 2017 | Early-Stage Alpha Hunter: RWA, AI, DePIN, L1/L2, Web3 Gaming
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 13 more calls to rank
Scored calls
2
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
—
0 correct / 0 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.03%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.1%
Equal stake on all 2 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
-0.02%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (58) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | — | 58 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.1% | 77 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.02% | 62 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 1h
2 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Only 4.4% of $BTC moved by holders who bought 6-12 months ago was sent to exchanges in the last 30 days, down from 40.4% in May-June. This suggests that holders who bought at higher prices are becoming less willing to sell. A positive sign for Bitcoin, but fresh buying demand is still needed to push prices higher.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 28.6% |
38 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.05 | 54 | 25% |
“On-chain data shows that whale balances are rising as $BTC continues its recovery. What's interesting is that large holders are still accumulating even after BTC's recent price increase. A bullish sign for $BTC, especially if accumulation continues while selling pressure remains low.”