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@CredibleCrypto · *Tweets are my opinion, not financial advice* All OFFICIAL platform links and content are ONLY found on my website below.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
45
Top 55% · #12 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
166
8 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
50.6%
84 correct / 82 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.28%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-46.0%
Equal stake on all 166 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.02%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (58) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 7% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.5% | 70 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −96.4% | 58 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.02% | 45 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
364 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Just an important reminder and something that I need to emphasize here...the thesis on ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52 atm is that the local bottom at .20 preceded our first true impulsive movement following our macro/HTF spring at .17 a few weeks earlier. If the idea is correct, then the origin of that impulse at .20 was our BOTTOM, essentially, before new all time highs at $6+. Yes, initial low timeframe targets are .30+ and above that .70+ as covered in recent video updates, but following those targets being met we are not expecting new lows- just some potential chop before continuation to $1+ and ultimately new highs. SO WITH THAT BEING SAID, as we trade here at .26, just .06 above what should be our BOTTOM before $6+, DO NOT MISS THE FOREST FOR THE TREES and fail to position if you are bullish on ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52 and the markets as a whole here. DO NOT WAIT for a penny or two lower if you believe (like me) that downside is limited to 6 cents, and upside is literally 100x that. FOR SPOT BUYS THERE IS NO BETTER TIME if the idea is correct. Levered longs are a different story, as precise entries are more important in managing risk, etc. BUT if you are sitting on your hands staring at CRV grinding up right now, with capital waiting to be deployed on spot ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52, and you- like me- recognize the impulsive PA off of .20 and it's implications, THEN THIS IS YOUR REMINDER TO STOP SITTING ON YOUR HANDS and ACT. As always, manage your risk, don't invest more than you can afford to, etc. But if there was ever the time to stop sitting on your hands and pull the trigger on spot CRV, that time is NOW (if you agree with the idea behind the impulsive move at .20).”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 92.6% |
82 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.00 | 45 | 25% |
All time · stated
“First screenshot was from the vid I shared yesterday (at around the 20 minute mark). We have hit that first local supply zone on today's move up so now we want to see if we can push to the local range highs at .29 or if this local supply will cap our upside. The assumption for now is that we will continue higher unless the local range below us (in blue on the second chart below) is lost. Pullbacks into that range is the best R/R place to get exposure for a potential move to the highs if we are going to get it. Let's see. ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52”
“First screenshot was from the vid I shared yesterday (at around the 20 minute mark). We have hit that first local supply zone on today's move up so now we want to see if we can push to the local range highs at .29 or if this local supply will cap our upside. The assumption for now is that we will continue higher unless the local range below us (in blue on the second chart below) is lost. Pullbacks into that range is the best R/R place to get exposure for a potential move to the highs if we are going to get it. Let's see. ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52”
“What he’s trying to say is $ETH to 20k 😤😤😤 https://t.co/S51iEEbZI0”
“@HermannJeff https://t.co/S95UDESS85”
“Def going to make one, but think it makes sense to give it a little bit of time here since LTF is so volatile atm. So for now, key takeaway is that this pump thus far has been a MASSIVE short squeeze. This was literally the biggest daily short liquidation on ethereum:native since October 10th. In dollar terms the liquidation on 10/10 was greater, but in terms of ethereum:native, today's liquidation was almost on par with 10/10 with around 350k ethereum:native worth of shorts liquidated on this pump. The reason massive long liquidations often mark local bottoms is because if a majority of levered longs get forcefully liquidated, that forced selling is often peak sell pressure, and so price then naturally rebounds in the other direction shortly after. The same can be applied to massive short liquidations in terms of forming local tops, however. So point being- be cautious here and let the dust settle to see how things develop. If buyers step in to keep momentum up here then we can certainly continue pumping to the upside. But for now, with a massive amount of shorts already liquidated, we probably can't rely on short squeezes to keep carrying us higher. A more in depth video update will follow once I've seen a bit more PA develop.”
“Keep in mind that no matter what happens here on lowet timeframes it doesn't change the idea that $ETH is primed for 20k+ on the HTF :) If the lower timeframes concern you, ignore them and focus on the big picture. Lower timeframes are only relevant for those who are actively trading and/or trying to learn how to actively trade.”
“@buzzearthling @AndrewBianco1 When BTC dominance is below 35% thats likely the beginning of the end.”
“Yea I agree for the most part- I would say the one environment in which I can see a meme "revival" of sorts is if SOL runs to new highs, but personally with the way I am seeing things atm I think ETH probs steals the show over SOL (at least to kick off the next major run). Atm, ETH chart is in a much better position imo, while I think SOL has some work to do. Lets see 🤝”
“@H564859 @CoreyTMitchell No I do, I think BTC makes a higher low (like a triple tap).”
“@newfinance24 Don't let single candles like this affect your bias. You MUST consider broader context. We saw very similar HTF candles on BTC that both literally marked pico bottoms before 100+% rallies: https://t.co/O8HXhzhwtJ”
“Based on the time and depth of the current pullback I have to assume that we are already in our Wave 2, correcting what I now assume to be a completed 5 wave impulse off the .20 lows. We are still technically holding the flipped supply zone which is our first area of interest on the downside. Remember, corrective moves like this can take a variety of shapes/forms, so if we DO start moving back up to the highs we should try and identify whether that move occurs impulsively (next impulse has begun) or correctively (move up is just part of the corrective Wave 2 and a potential fake out). For those looking to hop on the train, any dips into the consolidation zone that preceded our impulsive move (zone in BLUE) would be the ideal entry, with a clear invalidation level at the .20 lows. ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52”
“Based on the time and depth of the current pullback I have to assume that we are already in our Wave 2, correcting what I now assume to be a completed 5 wave impulse off the .20 lows. We are still technically holding the flipped supply zone which is our first area of interest on the downside. Remember, corrective moves like this can take a variety of shapes/forms, so if we DO start moving back up to the highs we should try and identify whether that move occurs impulsively (next impulse has begun) or correctively (move up is just part of the corrective Wave 2 and a potential fake out). For those looking to hop on the train, any dips into the consolidation zone that preceded our impulsive move (zone in BLUE) would be the ideal entry, with a clear invalidation level at the .20 lows. ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52”
“Shortly after this we got another local high which completed a 5 wave move of a smaller degree- and while there are a few potential ways to count this impulsive move up in even the most conservative case it looks to me like we are still missing at least one more wave to the upside before a potentially deeper pullback. We are now pushing into the old resistance zone that we ripped through earlier- so we would expect this zone to offer support if we are indeed missing another leg higher to complete our first 5 wave sequence off the .20 lows. ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52”
“Shortly after this we got another local high which completed a 5 wave move of a smaller degree- and while there are a few potential ways to count this impulsive move up in even the most conservative case it looks to me like we are still missing at least one more wave to the upside before a potentially deeper pullback. We are now pushing into the old resistance zone that we ripped through earlier- so we would expect this zone to offer support if we are indeed missing another leg higher to complete our first 5 wave sequence off the .20 lows. ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52”