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@CredibleCrypto · *Tweets are my opinion, not financial advice* All OFFICIAL platform links and content are ONLY found on my website below.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
47
Top 53% · #10 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
99
38 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
66.7%
66 correct / 33 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+6.02%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+596.1%
Equal stake on all 99 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+2.27%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (60) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 6% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 67.7% | 63 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −116.9% | 69 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.27% | 44 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
273 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@BPC5550123 I think it's in and looking for a higher low here but will be dependent on BTC to some extent. FWIW also think BTC might make another wick below 58 but also think it is forming a bottom here too.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
88 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.10 | 53 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“Managed to exit this position essentially at entry after we came close to inval but saw some relief before breaking our LTF level down. Was flying back from Singapore so didn't get a chance to update here at the time. For now, I am still interested in looking for a potential long on ETH/USD, but I want to see a proper base form on ETH/BTC first ( fresh chart will follow this post) before another attempt. For now, the fresh supply in RED that led to our LTF breakdown is our key resistance zone. I don't think we break through it on the first attempt.”
“Is it possible? I mean I guess anything is technically possible. It’s it likely though? No, not at all imo. What typically precedes a secular bear is an equal and opposite reaction in the other direction- aka irrational greed, euphoria, etc which is visualized as a parabolic/blow off top on a chart. We haven’t got that on crypto yet, so it’s unlikely we have reached the stage where a secular bear market is likely. Also worth noting, LTHS (aka the amount of Bitcoin being HODL’d/accumulated has reached an all time high- probs somewhere around 80+% of all BTC in existence. Meaning when excess supply is constrained at the highest levels it has ever been, float is low, so when a bit of demand comes into the market prices will rise aggressively. A secular bear is more likely to occur when a large chunk of the 80+% of BTC that is being HODL’d by long term holders has been distributed to short term holders who lack conviction to hold during corrections (sending us lower than most would expect, for longer- aka secular bear).”