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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
55
Top 45% · #5 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
77
10 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
46.3%
19 correct / 22 incorrect · 36 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.84%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+64.4%
Equal stake on all 77 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.66%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (53) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 12% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.1% | 69 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −244.2% | 3 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.66% | 14 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
42 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$VVV nice move today and looks like it's forming a decent bottom over the last ~2 weeks but expecting more chop overall. Still 1 of the better AI picks this cycle imo https://t.co/g1iez9pNwQ”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.05 | 83 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“some of these alts are at clear support levels. I think we're still ok as long as btc is stable. $WLD filecoin:native $AERO https://t.co/5cbiSvm9Kr”
“$LIT buyer here at 2.75 but this current area isn't a bad one to scale into a position. But overall longs are a bit scary right now https://t.co/B860wCBEXN”
“I'm not looking for specific price targets in general; I'm more looking for TIME SPENT in a certain area to form a stronger base for the next run. $NEAR $ENA $ZEC $PUMP We just had a 2-4x run for many altcoins from the recent lows and I think it makes sense we see some consolidation ofc it's going to be bitcoin dependent but I still expect there to be a lot of chop in the short term. If BTC can blast through to 100k then I think that altcoins just leg up with it. But as long as bitcoin is grinding up and down, I expect alts to do the same. I would love to see them spend anywhere from a 1-4 week period (or possibly more) in one area, which would set up for a very explosive December/January period Watching this idea now”
“Bitcoin: Alright good wicks this is healthy. want to see a few more of these if this is any convincing short term bottom (not saying it is quite yet) https://t.co/4AX4ODSIFC https://t.co/gUS8iP1MpQ”
“$BTC: For any sort of bottom you want to see wicks and lots of them. Quick V shaped reversals are more in strong trending bull markets and I don't think we are quite there yet. Another big test of 81k is here and there's still a lot of volatility to come around this area https://t.co/AeCbkOJsDC”
“$LIT I've been waiting for this level for weeks now and, now that it's here, I'm not sure I want to buy it or not. Many such cases. Probably should bounce soon though? https://t.co/HqVVcXrlGk”
“$PENGU is a slow cook and it's still 1 of my longer term holds. It's a coin that's usually better in risk on conditions but the overall chart looks fantastic- all the 1d EMAs are tightening and it's been in this trading range for ~9 months now. not a great active trade but 1 where you can just buy it and hold it and watch it go a few x from here when conditions are better”
“kind of insane to see a lot of these coins just erase the majority of those -20% dips. everything dependent on bitcoin in the short term but the altcoin bounces are solid the last 2 days. i still kind of think we revisit 80-81k again in the short term though”
“Bitcoin: Back to 60k we go https://t.co/odPB2PtMdY”
“$BTC Still a theoretically very solid place to long if you have the balls but this is definitely a scary situation. Lose this and we go to 80k imo https://t.co/FgvASqkLkC”
“Solana ecosystem doing well the last day, most certainly some news coming. Tbd if it has any followup the next few days and may even be short candidates later. Wouldn't do so right now though”
“Good relative strength coins: $PUMP $ZRO $NEAR SOL shitters (MET/RAY) have some news coming in all likelihood”
“i'm excited for a green day tomorrow and everyone saying 'we're so back' and getting giga long and then bitcoin pulling the rug out and slicing to 80k, liquidating all of us in 1 go”
“$SOL and $ETH have relatively similar charts honestly, both extremely low volatility and just slowly grinding around near this resistance region. I don't think that either are great for active trades but will put in the +20% candles when btc breaks out imo https://t.co/m7WBvh587J”