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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
55
Top 45% · #5 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
79
8 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
43.6%
34 correct / 44 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.79%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+62.4%
Equal stake on all 79 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.68%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (54) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 41.9% | 72 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −244.2% | 3 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.68% | 14 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
131 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“BTC should still be ok given this region. support is still here, I think it's pretty good R:R to long this 76k area https://t.co/lTxJP0vVJU”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.05 | 83 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“Bitcoin: This area is last line of defense imo, lose this level and it's 'lights out' (just down to low 70ks or 60ks) https://t.co/uAa2jd3Mvk”
“$BTC do or die level here for bitcoin, lose this and we go to 72k maybe. https://t.co/PbEVYECnLb”
“$ETH is looking heavy af...jfc so glad I bought eth calls yesterday (earlier I was ecstatic, now I'm crying) https://t.co/2X6ohOKXxt”
“$FARTCOIN: my lovely coin that has gotten rekt. My confident in fartcoin has wavered quite a bit over the last 1-2 months honestly. There are just many other coins that are taking the spotlight. RH meme/stock coins; USELESS from unipcs, etc. I still love this coin and have a bag but I've reduced exposure the last few weeks and put that into other memes. Hoping we see one big rip though when the market goes full bull”
“ethereum:0xa12cc123ba206d4031d1c7f6223d1c2ec249f4f3 is a very good project and I've actually used their cUSDT product in the past. This is likely the next stage of DeFi, where you see some sort of twist on top of just pure lending. Similar to CHIP (AI+DeFi). big announcement with their vault partnerships with Morpho today: https://t.co/Av5lR0pk5P The chart itself is a bit choppy but this was a decently strong coin before. I think we see a bottom soon though”
“$CASHCAT is always a really strong one but it's been overtaken by coins like PONS/AI in the last several weeks. I still think CC is solid and it's better now that Loracle closed some of his shorts (havent checked, maybe all?). Should continue to do well but idk if it outperforms AI. It does look like some sort of bottom is forming around this area”
“$BTC this area is still a support region, I assume we keep bouncing until shown otherwise. Lots of volatility expected the next few days though so size down IMO https://t.co/f6klieIlwA”
“Majors look so good right now. $ETH breaking out of its range and $SOL looks like it's going to teleport to 120+ https://t.co/HUC7TgvrVv”
“Majors look so good right now. $ETH breaking out of its range and $SOL looks like it's going to teleport to 120+ https://t.co/HUC7TgvrVv”
“Bitcoin looks STRONG man... https://t.co/kMl1OQBj5s”