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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
43
Top 57% · #13 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
360
9 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
47.3%
169 correct / 188 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.55%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+198.8%
Equal stake on all 360 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.30%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (58) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 46.9% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −334.5% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.30% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
706 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC 2 months in this range and no real clear trend on lower time frames. The 4h EMAs all look pretty good and I think we're pretty close to breakout but still lots of uncertainty w. war. I think this is still the high time frame bottom https://t.co/Fja4plaXcn”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.02 | 61 | 25% |
All time · stated