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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
43
Top 57% · #13 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
360
9 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
47.3%
169 correct / 188 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.55%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+198.8%
Equal stake on all 360 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.30%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (58) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 46.9% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −334.5% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.30% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
706 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“diversification for crypto sucks in bear markets, everything just goes down. sure, maybe ETH wont go down as much as fartcoin but you're rarely going to be properly hedged. you should only diversify in bullish conditions or if you're buying 'the bottom' imo”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.02 | 61 | 25% |
All time · stated
“$MON think it goes to the 0.50 fib or the 0.618 fib, don't like firing this current level. Still obviously a great project but think it goes a bit deeper https://t.co/nRsgKS2aro”
“The past 2 cycles has Bitcoin going about 1 year from the top to the bottom. If that happens again, we're looking around September/October for the true $BTC bottom in 2026 I'm personally not sure about this and think it'll come sooner but let's see.... https://t.co/iVG45egpds”
“$CHIP a lot of momentum is fading, could just be overall market environment or something else. I still think that this probably eventually goes to the $0.06 region and would like to see it form a strong base before considering a long. This is a great project but more watching rn https://t.co/YubjwLEIWb”
“$BTC and oil trading like some bad news coming....hmm”
“$BTC pretty much every down move the last few days has been quickly reversed...I'm assuming this continues to be honest. https://t.co/g15jEVwjzq”
“$BLife Actively trading this coin will give you aids but I still think it's a pretty decent swing trade where you buy somewhere in this range and then sell it around 0.50. Probably going to just do that myself https://t.co/6TxR3Hn4yD”
“$ASTEROID: I like this coin, I think that it's what the trenches needed. I think it's going to have another leg up when Elon decides to post about it again. However... I'm a bit scared thinking about the marginal buyer as I don't see many outside crypto people buying it. And everyone in crypto either owns it, has owned it and sold it, or are unwilling to buy it at these prices Furthermore, when you need some outside source to talk about it as the only catalyst for moving, you're basically stuck until said person shills it. Think about ASTER and CZ- those Aster traders have been waiting for a long long time. Is it a buy here? Unsure. I think taking a stab at it at 100m seems decent. Watching myself”
“$PENGU moving much higher...love to see it. Would be cautious at firing at this current level if you're actively trading but if you just have a higher time frame point of view on it, it should still do pretty well. 200d EMA right here. I'm still bullish on this one https://t.co/IQAgABpfw1 https://t.co/Riv37aU2kF”
“$BTC pretty lame price action on the LTFs, I think that this false break fooled a lot of people with some conflicting headlines. Still a pretty choppy market and I don't think we see any full bull moves for most alts until we see a legit breakout candle https://t.co/9JUNsk1ZSv”
“$BLife still seems like it's an interesting spot to be honest...just ranging at this 0.50 area. EMAs looking better on the 4h, I think you can probably just long around here with a stop below $0.315 and assume this is going to run to the 0.50 level if btc is stable. https://t.co/JX2pC8KOQ9”
“$FARTCOIN still down almost 90% from the 2025 highs...hot air will rise again https://t.co/kfx6T6Zo7D”
“$BTC I wonder if this is still an idea that's going to happen...I should have thought about this even more, the concept of price filling out big inefficient moves. Wouldn't surprise me to just see some more chop between 70-80k further. https://t.co/NhwAjZrwZO https://t.co/9tbUq2MSjC”
“Going to be interesting seeing the $MEGA TGE launch in a few days. The $CHIP one was solid execution and it also gave retail a few x upside, which is really all we want. Give some retail a chance to make money and we'll remember you forever. I think Megaeth will have at least 1 decent pump and from there, no clue. Will write a longer post when it gets closer to TGE”
“$CHZ around here but hoping I get a bit lower at 0.046 https://t.co/REIDK3azzf”