Loading…
@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
43
Top 57% · #13 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
359
9 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
47.2%
168 correct / 188 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.55%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+198.3%
Equal stake on all 359 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.30%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (58) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 46.7% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −334.5% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.30% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
705 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC this is some insane chop wtf...60k is still support until shown otherwise. But if stocks get destroyed tomorrow then this is going to go lower imo https://t.co/VsWfzMHOSZ”
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @AltcoinSherpa head to head.
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.02 | 61 | 25% |
All time · stated
“going to be funny if btc just rips +20% from here”
“I just think it's safer to buy things higher if everything does bounce. This is dangerous territory for crypto / shitcoins with where bitcoin is at. While it's still a support area, all it takes is 1 nasty candle to see some destruction in the shitcoin market. Would be cautious”
“$BTC hanging on by a thread...lose this level and its low 50ks time imo https://t.co/7OIxsTGQld”
“guys, $SPCX is a liquid 2x on launch. it's the next TRUMP”
“@Pickle_cRypto https://t.co/6IKP32RKQI”
“@x256xx think it's pretty dependent on bitcoin to be honest. if btc loses this level and goes into the 50ks, hype is going down with it imo”
“$VVV higher time frame view I would definitely slam it if it came to $9, the 0.618 fib + 200d EMA. There will be a bounce or 2 before that level though. https://t.co/qEXx1Xy2oh”
“I can't think of 1 big infrastructure project that actually did well and had any legit traction. $MEGA $BERA are 2 here. These things are just destined for 0, no matter how good the actual tech is. Why? Because there's nothing unique to do on those chains. There's a reason that BNB/SOL/ETH still have the majority of all volume / users. Every dapp on these other chains are simply copy pasted from 1 of the above chains (usually ETH). That's not me trying to shit on these projects; I know they are working hard to try to get some traction. But these things are not buys at all”
“$VVV I think this is actually one that is a potentially interesting short. I wouldn't quite do it here but it looks like it's about to fall off a cliff. That doesn't mean 'it's over' but everything eventually cools off a bit and VVV is no exception. $12.50 is interesting around the 100d EMA. I would like to see this form a base a bit lower but yeah this is one that I think goes lower.”
“$BTC this area is still support and I still expect to see some sort of reaction in the green box. I think this type of price action is still fairly normal, even if this is the higher time frame bottom. But if we start to see more dribbling/chop around green box area w. nothing happening, I'm going to be quite scared for the potential next leg down. I think this is still support until shown otherwise though. Would still be cautious and keep trades short. don't let losses get out of hand if you're playing these scalps”
“@pierre_crypt0 really hope we base out around here and just spend another few weeks around 60-80k...would give me a lot more confidence”
“Kind of sad seeing a lot of these recent moves totally retraced. Coins like $ENA $XPL just aren't ready and very few altcoins are going to perform well in these market conditions https://t.co/QfBS9DiyMP”
“$BTC this is still an obvious bounce spot but personally not getting greedy...I'm just taking extremely quick trades. Currently not interested in shorting this area but if we get up to 70k or something around there, will heavily consider that (depending on the price action). Still unsure if this is 'the bottom' though. High time frame wise this area looks decent but, as I said before, I'm more looking for time spent in this area vs. specific levels. 1 thing that also concerns me is the lack of wicks/violence that you usually see at bottoms. We haven't really seen a lot of turmoil (yet). Whether that's because there's just a dramatic shift in market structure, Saylor, or something else, I'm not sure. But more going to watch around this region”
“$BTC this area was always a very very obvious bounce spot but there are a lot of bigger factors at play here other than TA imo. Mostly Saylor and what's going on in macro land + more war stuff...any of those things go against us and I think we leg down. But TA wise alone, this area should be a support area”