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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
43
Top 57% · #13 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
359
9 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
47.2%
168 correct / 188 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.55%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+198.3%
Equal stake on all 359 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.30%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (58) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 46.7% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −334.5% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.30% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
705 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Very good coin for $CHIP, hits defi + AI and I'm an investor. It's still chopping around down here but I'd love to see a shift in market structure on the lower time frames (higher highs/higher lows) https://t.co/wWnbSuTeMt https://t.co/b1YWMhz01N”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.02 | 61 | 25% |
All time · stated
“$LIT quietly keeps grinding up...overall, this trade has been quite horrible in terms of the LIT/HYPE pair but hey, it's held up way better than most other shitcoins. Will lighter outperform hype? on higher time frames, probably not. But you can just own both. This one is a really difficult one to trade in general and it's better to just buy and hold spot IMO.”
“@goodalexander hey, sometimes you're gifted an $IP and they scam pump it higher”
“If you actually zoom out, so many of these coins still have a few x to go if we actually get a good btc environment. bittensor:native solana:jtojtomepa8beP8AuQc6eXt5FriJwfFMwQx2v2f9mCL near:native $WLD https://t.co/4p9iuFnZRp”
“If you actually zoom out, so many of these coins still have a few x to go if we actually get a good btc environment. bittensor:native solana:jtojtomepa8beP8AuQc6eXt5FriJwfFMwQx2v2f9mCL near:native $WLD https://t.co/4p9iuFnZRp”
“chickened out from my short with $VVV but I think this chart is toast for a bit. This is a good coin to pair with a long imo https://t.co/aSV9d0uHUj”
“$BTC this is a logical spot for a pullback in the short term but I don't see too much that should stop us right now. Everything is going up in tradfi / equities and I'm hopeful that there won't be any hiccups in Iran. I'm still in buy the dip mode for most coins rn https://t.co/clJBupiHLq”
“$XPL this is just creeping higher...might have to add even more to the position... https://t.co/5z3JSh34ev”
“$VVV: This is an area that I pre-marked as a decent shorting area; I wasn't a fan of the current chart and thought that it needed to chill/ form a base and pull back a little. Still like Venice as a project but it had such an insane run. Anyways, I was thinking about this 16-17 region as a good area and still partially believe this...but it's always scary shorting a leader and a coin that still has a relevant narrative. Still seems to be a pretty strong on crypto AI right now with TAO also moving so personally going to just watch and wait; not buying or selling.”
“$XPL kind of dumb but I like doing these fibs for these types of moves; I find that the 0.5 fib usually gives some sort of bounce if this is a legit move. Obviously there's nuance to it though. Going to try to bid a bit at $0.076 https://t.co/zAtASB3Pfw”
“$XPL looks pretty good honestly, might get back in within this range. https://t.co/0Wlw1PjGtG”
“$DOGE: Crypto is often a game of relationships and relative comps. Elon = Doge pump, something I didn't think about (but in hindsight makes a lot of sense). Good move today but probably a better scalp opportunity vs. swing play https://t.co/fOb4JIDAph”
“' $XPL looks too pumped, I'm taking profits' The pump: https://t.co/RaLOwwdZXN”
“Time to try to lose more $$ longing $XPL again soon IMO...aiming for $0.071 ish for an entry. Tiny starter position already but idk why I'm trying to buy this thing, it's always so heavy and trades horribly”
“Pokemon cards/1 piece/ tons of other collectibles are still hot as hell right now and it's cool seeing Pudgy get involved. I've got a bag of $PENGU I'm still holding and will look to add down here https://t.co/56Sd3GJdIq”