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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
43
Top 57% · #13 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
359
9 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
47.2%
168 correct / 188 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.55%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+198.3%
Equal stake on all 359 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.30%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (58) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 46.7% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −334.5% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.30% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
705 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@CryptoFnddTrdr if he dumps everything btc is going to like 30k lol...would be a nightmare to see it (but probably better for everyone)”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.02 | 61 | 25% |
All time · stated
“If Saylor dumps a material amount of BTC, we're saying goodbye to the only marginal buyer and the only person keeping this market afloat. Scary thought...”
“Cmon $BTC plz hold this area... https://t.co/jx8iREjya0”
“@CryptoTony__ this one will probably bounce eventually. got murdered earlier though”
“$BTC honestly not looking great on low time frames. Praying this green box holds but there's a good chance this one probably dips back to 60k ish in the coming days... https://t.co/1FxQ8ys7iF”
“Bought half position of $AERO at the lows but didn't get filled on the other half at 0.50 fib...FML Still like this one though and might just add more higher https://t.co/kHcmV01bUe”
“4 months in this range and 8 months since the top for Bitcoin. Probably another 4ish months to go in this chop before it truly bottoms https://t.co/jgmKyXz0My”
“This is the dip I've been looking for. I'm going to target coins like $AERO $WLD $HYPE $JTO and a few others”
“$PENGU this is going according to plan. I think memes are great value down here and Pudgy Penguins are a great brand that hits several angles. I have a bag of it and will be holding until memes have a run https://t.co/F7rQZDQsaf https://t.co/GIOX6PrFPn”
“$USELESS looks great and at an accumulation area. It's interacting with the 200d EMA for the first time really ever and I think it's strong on high time frames. With that said, it's not a quick trade at all. I think you need to basically just do 1 of 2 things: Buy spot and forget about it OR just wait for the first big breakout and then hop on the train then. Don't buy expecting it to moon in 2 days IMO. There are a lot of other factors at play here such as btc strength but overall, I think memes are pretty bottomed.”
“$XPL here is the pop, I'm sidelined Will likely buy a dip though https://t.co/2a9tTNsPNm”
“$AERO really strong moves lately and it seems like a lot of the decent fundamental DeFi coins are moving (this + UNI). probably looking to buy a dip around $0.43 and take one shot at it. https://t.co/vOHzOE4yWK”
“$XPL currently all out of XPL but this is such a bizarre chart. Probably going to have a +20% pop one of these days if it continues this weird grind up. I'm currently all out but watching it carefully here. https://t.co/eLJM3of8jP”
“$FARTCOIN needs to hit a 2x to hit its prices back in May and 3x to hit its prices back from January of this year. This thing got turbo rekt but I think that there's decent value buying down here. I have a bag. https://t.co/PK6LjTyD17”
“bought a little $FARTCOIN memes will make a comeback ....or I will be broke”