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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
43
Top 57% · #13 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
359
9 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
47.2%
168 correct / 188 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.55%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+198.3%
Equal stake on all 359 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.30%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (58) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 46.7% | 45 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −334.5% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.30% | 73 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
705 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“if BTC legs down then I think you can short some of the recent runners. Coins like $WLD, $AERO $EIGEN are candidates. Yes, they've shown decent relative strength lately but the pullbacks today are meaningful. More watching right now (not shorting immediately)”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.02 | 61 | 25% |
All time · stated
“if BTC legs down then I think you can short some of the recent runners. Coins like $WLD, $AERO $EIGEN are candidates. Yes, they've shown decent relative strength lately but the pullbacks today are meaningful. More watching right now (not shorting immediately)”
“$BTC things are looking grim on the lower time frames but contextually speaking, we're still just in a gigantic range. Current level still support but 60k looks destined at this point https://t.co/YQIYMzB4ep”
“$BTC honestly not looking great on lower time frames but we're still in a choppy regime. 1 day up, 1 day down, no real true trend. This 1d close isn't bullish though imo. https://t.co/qQMudnB8XB”
“hot air rises, I have a bag of $FARTCOIN https://t.co/yTpPg6cULr”
“The last few months have been really nice to see with these moves honestly. It almost feels like alt season (even though it's not) and many of these good alts have done a few x. Can't wait to see what happens when we actually do have a super bullish environment for bitcoin...”
“$BTC break this area and we probably go back to that 67k region but honestly unsure...pretty low volatility choppy environment, best to just chill out for now https://t.co/qv9IIQtyDe”
“$XPL this one got shilled super hard but probably not interested in buying until lower. This region should theoretically be support but this one always trades weird. I'll probably stay away. https://t.co/WTL1uBnvu3”
“$EIGEN has shown a lot of relative strength lately. I'm in it but this is an area you should probably be careful of/ probably shouldn't top blast. Price hasn't cleanly broken this region with strength for several months and we've rejected every time from this $0.23 area. The overall thesis is decent imo: Eigen flipped to AI months ago and with decentralized inference + narrative really popping off the last week. The cons to this trade are that there's 7-8 million usd worth of sell pressure each month from the team and investors and that's a large amount. New unlock comes in 10 days in early July and it's pretty hard to overcome that. Couple that with BTC looking like trash on lower time frames and the entire market could take a dump But if BTC becomes stable, I think that this is a pretty strong one to consider. https://t.co/9dSDJdwtgY”
“@ThePumponomics appreciate the updates”
“Cabal coin time I guess if the market is crappy, I fumbled $zerebro a week ago and $BLIFE also looking ok. These coins always shine during times of uncertainty https://t.co/ucFdPnbACU”
“Cabal coin time I guess if the market is crappy, I fumbled $zerebro a week ago and $BLIFE also looking ok. These coins always shine during times of uncertainty https://t.co/ucFdPnbACU”
“$AERO is probably 1 of the only good fundamental coins I am interested in right now while btc looks like trash. Would try to keep buying in the green box personally https://t.co/dhvNjwjc8h”
“$XPL key region around here and it's back within that large trading range. This area should provide a bounce in theory but btc still looks lame https://t.co/WySOs9MtBg”
“$BTC Honestly the levels are not super clean/clear to me down in this range and the next interesting area up is around 61k ish. We could certainly form some sort of bounce before then but I'll just view things on the lower time frames. All in all, best to stay defensive rn imo https://t.co/Jmw6Dge9qd”