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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
53
Top 47% · #9 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
218
9 pending · 9 unresolved
Hit rate
46.5%
101 correct / 116 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
+1.74%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+379.6%
Equal stake on all 218 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.60%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (67) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 13% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 45.4% | 66 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −244.2% | 6 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.60% | 81 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
384 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC decent compression here and flipped the 200 EMA (4h) for now; would really like to see some sort of breakout though with volume. I think we can go to like 70k if tradfi is stable https://t.co/Xrz4lOXFhv”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.05 | 75 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“$ETH still looks pretty good imo, as long as btc is stable I think this continues higher https://t.co/QNhv5BfVbw”
“Under the radar Longs on my list: $ONDO $LDO ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb $VIRTUAL (not that under radar) Short coins list: Most solana coins $JTO $MET $PUMP $SYN (will still have insane 30% bounces tho so hard to play, i think it goes to 0.12 or something eventually) Regular decent coins: $LIT $HYPE $ZEC $AERO”
“Under the radar Longs on my list: $ONDO $LDO ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb $VIRTUAL (not that under radar) Short coins list: Most solana coins $JTO $MET $PUMP $SYN (will still have insane 30% bounces tho so hard to play, i think it goes to 0.12 or something eventually) Regular decent coins: $LIT $HYPE $ZEC $AERO”
“Under the radar Longs on my list: $ONDO $LDO ethereum:0xfe0c30065b384f05761f15d0cc899d4f9f9cc0eb $VIRTUAL (not that under radar) Short coins list: Most solana coins $JTO $MET $PUMP $SYN (will still have insane 30% bounces tho so hard to play, i think it goes to 0.12 or something eventually) Regular decent coins: $LIT $HYPE $ZEC $AERO”
“$LIT aiming for around $2, it's been a long wait for it but I think it should be a decent area for a bounce. $1.85ish would be the next area up after that https://t.co/5eppQLq6nJ”
“$ETH: S/R flip around $1800 would be lovely but btc still a bit unstable. Certainly a bounce before $1700 imo https://t.co/HDPlElUvWW”
“$BTC guess the next area up is 62k. Still incredibly choppy when zooming out https://t.co/jFebkpq8FV”
“$PENGU: Look at how beaten down some of these are. I think that memes / sol memes are very oversold and great value down here, I've been saying it for a while. The only thing that's tough is the time component. If you are thinking about buying something with a 1-3 month time horizon, I do believe memes are ones to consider...they're really going to go a few x when the environment changes IMO. I have a bag of pudgy penguins”