@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
28
Top 72% · #7 of 9 ranked
Scored calls
67
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
40.6%
13 correct / 19 incorrect · 35 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.55%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-36.8%
Equal stake on all 67 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.12%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (38) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 13% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 44.7% | 46 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −51.1% | 0 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.12% | 12 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
19 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC 200 ema on the 4h a great local bottom...let's hope this continues https://t.co/dadR0qsGs7”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
98 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.06 | 46 | 25% |
30 days · 4h
“things are going to get extremely nasty if we lose these recent lows here...(sadly kind of looks like it is going to happen eventually) $ENA $WLD $PUMP https://t.co/sQZl6LrDfW”
“$SOL and $ETH have relatively similar charts honestly, both extremely low volatility and just slowly grinding around near this resistance region. I don't think that either are great for active trades but will put in the +20% candles when btc breaks out imo https://t.co/m7WBvh587J”
“honestly this is bullish for solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv imo, no more distractions and energy put into a relatively unused chain. Pudgy can get back to focusing on their consumer products / core narratives now. (I have a bag) https://t.co/QrDpzmapBa”
“$ETH: If you're long here you're just waiting for it to put in the +20% candle that we're all waiting for. I think ETH still looks pretty damn strong but it's been in this tight 5% range for weeks now; don't see that changing until btc legs up significantly. I have some calls on ETHA”
“@CryptoWendyO happier at 200k btc tbh”
“$PUMP looks pretty good imo, next leg incoming? Consolidated well above the previous August highs https://t.co/4k63i4CKWi”
“$ETH chopped for 1 month, had a small move, and has now continued chopping for 10 days. I think it's only a matter of time before this one explodes. I'm long calls https://t.co/2SRXcWXtIC”
“solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv small bag right now but I need more time to reload, this still looks pretty solid to me. Want to DCA more in this region personally https://t.co/3BnGGAl2gg”
“$USELESS I think that the 0.20 area is going to ultimately be the low for it but this will go back to ATH eventually IMO. Still seems to be the leader for sol memes the last few weeks. nice bounce today and I still have a small bag of it https://t.co/GdzkpNgDhz”
“solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv: Opened a starter position on this one, I'm buying the breakout. It's chopped at this current area for days now + has all the 1d EMAs flipped. I think this is a bit of a slower trade but one that's interesting to me. Already had a small bag I'm holding from before but bought more here”
“solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv: Opened a starter position on this one, I'm buying the breakout. It's chopped at this current area for days now + has all the 1d EMAs flipped. I think this is a bit of a slower trade but one that's interesting to me. Already had a small bag I'm holding from before but bought more here”
“$USELESS I still have a bag of this and I think it goes to ATH if bitcoin remains stable/ strong https://t.co/0O0yFz9ztO”
“Bitcoin chart looks great, breakout here please! https://t.co/eaY6Bd1gkf”
“I bought more $XPL today with anticipation of some sort of news coming for their unlocks. Huge % of the total float unlocks tomorrow, I can't imagine they just let that happen; price probably nukes 50% + if those people sell (wouldn't expect that to necessarily happen). https://t.co/JvjpkwNNcA”