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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
48
Top 52% · #12 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
368
0 pending · 47 unresolved
Hit rate
51.4%
185 correct / 175 incorrect · 8 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.04%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+15.0%
Equal stake on all 368 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.01%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (46) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 51.5% | 48 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −68.9% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.01% | 39 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
706 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC I still have this same exact view...we need wicks to form a real bottom. The good thing is that we are now testing this current area often and we are giving buyers a chance to step in, but we also have a crazed overleveraged maniac with Saylor...so hard to say Wicks=Bottom https://t.co/MGKiasFaBR https://t.co/q5LuUJsrPj”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.00 | 42 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“Bitcoin: If we close like this on the daily I am very very scared...breaching that February low isn't good at all. https://t.co/NAtePgF7Lr”
“@CryptoPoseidonn thats a pipe dream but it'll happen if btc dumps to 40ks imo”
“$BTC really hope we can reclaim some of these higher levels. Equities are looking like they're going to be strong today and I hope we can get some of that carryover in crypto land. I think playing level to level is mostly best right now as we're still in dangerous territory https://t.co/RO9ziXe6EC”
“@S0Ldada7 makes sense after the MU earnings, market might just keep going higher”
“@Sellingvol wheres the pasta from”
“Bitcoin: Viewing 54k if we lose this current level...not really sure honestly. https://t.co/EC6yphIHK2”
“$FARTCOIN: It's retarded but I bought more down here (am down on recent buys but it's a longer term position). I think that risk on will eventually come back and I do think that fartcoin is a good candidate for that. It's gotten so rekt that it doesn't need much $ to send it a few x- it can still go a few x and not even hit its January highs, I'll take that bet.”
“$RAIN is an interesting chart; it's held up really well overall but pretty low volume on it. PM is still a decent narrative and I'm a big fan of boxing so it's cool to see a partnership with Mike Tyson. Even still, not really sure where you can enter/exit on this one...I bet it probably just keeps going though. https://t.co/ajTX2IUHYB”
“$AERO still a really solid coin overall but probably not a buyer until $0.44-$0.47 Bitcoin still looks like shit so you can be patient on this one IMO https://t.co/MccK67livs https://t.co/plUlLX9wfh”
“$AERO still a really solid coin overall but probably not a buyer until $0.44-$0.47 Bitcoin still looks like shit so you can be patient on this one IMO https://t.co/MccK67livs https://t.co/plUlLX9wfh”
“$ZAMA it looks like their confidential vault is live and ZAMA is the intersection between privacy + DeFi. Price has held up pretty well on a relative basis and I still expect it to respect the trendline. Strong coin lately https://t.co/dj1VZkFjIc https://t.co/C3CpYMomnH”
“$BTC 62k is looking HEAVY...need this level to hold https://t.co/VfDDjmEKpD”
“$VVV I have been bearish on this one for a while now and I think that it's going to go to lower levels like $9-$11. That's fine given how strong of a run it already had and it just needs to cool a bit. Still bullish on this though longterm https://t.co/nvrYJCkF1W”
“@0xaporia never ever hold for 5 years too (unless its btc and even then...hmm)”