@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
41
Top 60% · #13 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
301
69 pending · 45 unresolved
Hit rate
54.2%
162 correct / 137 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+4.58%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+1377.6%
Equal stake on all 301 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.47%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (49) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 55.5% | 33 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −410.5% | 18 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.47% | 39 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
706 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“And alternatively these are all going to die if BTC also breaks down. $MON $XPL https://t.co/khuHNJxpxl https://t.co/ke0ZAXKiQ1”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.05 | 61 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“And alternatively these are all going to die if BTC also breaks down. $MON $XPL https://t.co/khuHNJxpxl https://t.co/ke0ZAXKiQ1”
“And alternatively these are all going to die if BTC also breaks down. $MON $XPL https://t.co/khuHNJxpxl https://t.co/ke0ZAXKiQ1”
“never get in the way of slow orderly selling for $BIO. There might be one bounce but this is a twap sell. Unfortunate bc this was a good narrative https://t.co/rKjwSaPYAc”
“$PUMP havent charted this one much in a while but I'm pretty conflicted. on 1 hand, its a protocol that generates fees (better than 99% of projects in crypto) and it works as a decent index for memes/onchain risk on environments. On the other, it's something that's hated by many, it has a ton of unlocks coming that will send it to $0 eventually, and it probably still underperforms some of the other 'legit' projects like hype/lit or even individual memes like fartcoin. Idk...maybe if you're only looking for fundamentals then this is something that can be bought, but I don't know if I see it really outperforming. And when unlocks come, run for the hills (unless you think the team does 1 big pump before unlocks, which is a tried and true method that works)”
“Lots of these coins are ranging right near their highs. Breakout on BTC likely leads to the same here for these. $HYPE $MON $NEAR Binance Life https://t.co/tVFEyeSvjN”
“$BTC this area is still a dangerous region to enter fresh longs at imo. Breakout and we probably see something like 85k or close to the 200d EMA but would more just watch and wait. I think any war resolution probably takes us there https://t.co/iXOIb4t3qA”
“$LIT the biggest argument Lighter has is that it's got better upside than HyperLiquid when comparing their respective marketcaps; you're probably going to get an easier 2x from LIT than HL (which makes sense). Fundamentally, the 2 are obviously aren't comparable-HL is far superior. But Lighter still makes $, has a good team, and has a very useful/useable product. I would be a bit wary in terms of chasing beta in general but this one is still solid relative to the field in terms of fundamentals. There's also no real reason for it to be strictly HL vs LIT. Crypto is too pvp and you can simply own both if this is your type of investment”
“There are a lot of these old AI memes that are going to probably get crime pumped (or are already in the process of doing so). $ZEREBRO $ARC and a few others like Griffain are prime candidates. They're low market cap, they have binance perps options, and some are also on perps dexes as well. ARC was a failed LLP attack on Lighter which resulted in a gigantic wick down. These types of plays are much more under the radar but if you can spot some accumulation early onchain then you can usually get in and go along for the ride. But I would advise against using leverage for these types of plays because there are frequent shakeouts. These types of plays also require lots of patience and they will slowly grind up with some random wicks here and there. Definitely something to consider if you like checking onchain activity.”
“There are a lot of these old AI memes that are going to probably get crime pumped (or are already in the process of doing so). $ZEREBRO $ARC and a few others like Griffain are prime candidates. They're low market cap, they have binance perps options, and some are also on perps dexes as well. ARC was a failed LLP attack on Lighter which resulted in a gigantic wick down. These types of plays are much more under the radar but if you can spot some accumulation early onchain then you can usually get in and go along for the ride. But I would advise against using leverage for these types of plays because there are frequent shakeouts. These types of plays also require lots of patience and they will slowly grind up with some random wicks here and there. Definitely something to consider if you like checking onchain activity.”
“Memes to watch: I like memes bc they always perform well in strong btc environments. Check March/April 2025: Many did several x from their lows and I think the same can happen now. Memes I'm watching (no order): $FARTCOIN $USELESS $PEPE $DOGE (high mc tho) $PENGU $POPCAT Binance Life 4 +some other BNB ones Not as big of a fan of the ETH ones as much for obvious reasons. I also think it's highly important for the centralized memes that you pick to have PERPS available. That adds to overall trading volume + volatility and just allows for much more access.”
“$BTC if this is a legit breakout then I expect it to go farther than 80k. We have chopped here for 2 months and I think that we should have fuel for even higher if we can solidly make a move from here. Eyes open... https://t.co/B6PlZ9e5dE”
“Guys don't buy $PIPPIN As someone who bought and sold this one extremely carefully over the last few months, these onchain wallets are not buying yet. Go to dexscreener/ top traders 30d / you can see tons of the wallets here. DO NOT BUY THIS UNTIL SOME ONCHAIN WALLETS START TO NET BUY. I cannot emphasize this enough. Every other pump is purely perps driven and then more spot is dumped onto the market. If you want to buy and scalp this one, that's fine...but do not buy with any longer hold in mind on this.”
“$BIO I filled around current area here last night, will probably keep watching it closely. Could also see it go down to $0.032 and I'm willing to eat the drawdown. still think it could have legs. https://t.co/PndF5SZvTF https://t.co/NjjTDdCPFj”
“$MON god this is going to break up without me huh...looks insanely strong https://t.co/kICGS5yS3W”