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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 12 more calls to rank
Scored calls
3
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
0.0%
0 correct / 3 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.31%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.9%
Equal stake on all 3 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
-0.30%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (14) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 33% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 0.0% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.9% | 14 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.30% | 7 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 1h
5 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I dont think this is really the environment to chase a bunch of pumps. We had a great day today but btc is still super choppy and I'm expecting a red day very soon. I think we should still mostly be day trading or just having longer term positions; anything in the middle is harder. All in all, definitely lower size in these conditions imo”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 42.9% |
54 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.81 | 7 | 25% |
“War with Iran Equities melting down AI run over Macro dying Geopolitics unstable worldwide Europe burning ...BTC to all time high now, let's go”
“$BTC 200 ema on the 4h a great local bottom...let's hope this continues https://t.co/dadR0qsGs7”
“Bitcoin: Alright good wicks this is healthy. want to see a few more of these if this is any convincing short term bottom (not saying it is quite yet) https://t.co/4AX4ODSIFC https://t.co/gUS8iP1MpQ”
“$BTC: For any sort of bottom you want to see wicks and lots of them. Quick V shaped reversals are more in strong trending bull markets and I don't think we are quite there yet. Another big test of 81k is here and there's still a lot of volatility to come around this area https://t.co/AeCbkOJsDC”