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@APompliano ·
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 3 more calls to rank
Scored calls
12
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
62.5%
5 correct / 3 incorrect · 4 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.04%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+0.5%
Equal stake on all 12 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.15%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (62) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 60.1% | 73 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −1.3% | 73 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.15% | 61 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
4 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Bitcoin had a great run over the last 30 days. But investors are not selling their public stocks to buy bitcoin, rather they are converting stablecoins into bitcoin which suggests there is much more appreciation to come. https://t.co/33CZFxcD1X”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 33.3% |
18 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.15 | 76 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“@mudirshin I am still a shareholder and deeply believe in Kaz and the team. Turnarounds take time, but they have built one of the most impressive teams in tech. Anyone who thinks Opendoor’s best days are behind them will likely be sadly mistaken. $OPEN”
“The Treasury just reminded everyone that the money printer will never turn off. Bitcoin responded aggressively and is now at $80,000 per coin. Bitcoin has no top because the dollar has no bottom. https://t.co/WrdSvVD9v7”
“The world is betting against me, but today we begin the impossible comeback… $BRR https://t.co/NzToiKAufl”