@APompliano ·
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 3 more calls to rank
Scored calls
12
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
57.1%
4 correct / 3 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.07%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.8%
Equal stake on all 12 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.04%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (48) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 58.2% | 70 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −1.7% | 70 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.04% | 42 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 33.3% |
18 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.08 | 39 | 25% |
All time · 1h