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@100trillionUSD · All models are wrong, some are useful. DYOR! 👉 https://t.co/4UQOQ8eRA3
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 6 more calls to rank
Scored calls
9
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
55.6%
5 correct / 4 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.08%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.7%
Equal stake on all 9 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.05%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (57) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 22% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 66.8% | 88 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −2.8% | 72 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.05% | 47 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
0 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
No predictions with this status
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 46.2% |
25 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.06 | 53 | 25% |
90 days · 4h