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@100trillionUSD · All models are wrong, some are useful. DYOR! 👉 https://t.co/4UQOQ8eRA3
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 6 more calls to rank
Scored calls
9
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
22.2%
2 correct / 7 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.06%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-0.5%
Equal stake on all 9 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
-0.10%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (30) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 22% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 15.4% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.8% | 75 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.10% | 28 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
16 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@kryptosopus Indeed, and 20x from here would be the same as bitcoin growth of the last 10 years (from $3k to $60k), not unrealistic at all IMO.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 53.8% |
44 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.23 | 22 | 25% |
90 days · 1h