Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $74,788 at 9 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $74,314 at 10 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC.
3. r = 74313.88 / 74787.5 − 1 = -0.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology