Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,228 at 8 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,123 at 9 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 2123.3 / 2227.9 − 1 = -4.7%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -4.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology