Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,233 at 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,123 at 9 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC.
3. r = 2122.64 / 2232.92 − 1 = -4.9%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +4.9% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology