Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $75,786 at 8 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $74,050 at 9 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 74050.08 / 75786.43 − 1 = -2.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +2.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology