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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 8 Nov 2026, 09:18 UTC · fetched 8 Nov 2026, 09:38 UTC

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

$btc is coiling for a violent move three days stuck inside a $1,528 range..... tightest coil since august that one broke from $62.9k to a $79.5k wick in five days a whale pulled 3,009 btc off binance nov 5 and 6 first time that wallet moved since april 2025 $81.2k is next https://t.co/r9Bx5iGvkG

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $75,819 at 8 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $74,188 at 9 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 74188.09 / 75818.68 − 1 = -2.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$btc is coiling for a violent move”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

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