Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 8 Nov 2026, 05:32 UTC · fetched 8 Nov 2026, 05:38 UTC

SalsaTekila

@SalsaTekila

In reply to · 7 Nov 2026, 18:52 UTC · context given to the AI

BTC TO 300k https://t.co/GmY4xfUzu6

@grimace85 It’s not stopping at 0.3M

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $75,725 at 8 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $74,375 at 9 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC.
r = 74374.86 / 75724.73 − 1 = -1.8%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time