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Leaderboard / @BigCheds / 2119188574146855360:ethereum

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 7 Nov 2026, 22:01 UTC · fetched 7 Nov 2026, 22:31 UTC

Bi

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

$ETH large body into 2 small bodies. Could be a setup for tower bottom here https://t.co/Zw0Ptn5LCz

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,231 at 7 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,126 at 8 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC.
r = 2126.29 / 2231.42 − 1 = -4.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -4.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH large body into 2 small bodies.”
Confidence: 96%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$2,231

Evaluation price

$2,126

Move

-4.7%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 15:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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