Prediction evidence

In reply to · 7 Nov 2026, 10:17 UTC · context given to the AI

People are asking for my opinion on @CredibleCrypto recent video. Honestly, what he’s saying is structurally very possible. What I’ve said to you guys is that there is liquidity below our recent lows, or the lows from the summer, and it’s not impossible for us to sweep that liquidity. With that being said, it isn’t my base case. But does that mean it won’t come true? No, it doesn’t. I’m not a prophet. I can’t see the future. Again, and this isn’t a criticism of Cred because I love Cred’s work. I think he’s one of the best technical analysts, if not the best, sharing his information for free in the space with his own original ideas. Cred thought bitcoin:native was going to sweep $90K before coming down to sweep the $74K region. At the time, I agreed (we don’t get every move bang on, that’s called trading). I think I changed my opinion quite a while earlier than him, based on what I was seeing on $ETH. But does that mean he’s directionally wrong? Not often, to be honest. So it’s definitely something to take into consideration. However, I still think my thought process is the most likely outcome. I’ve been saying for a long time that, based on what I think Bitcoin is doing structurally, I believe Bitcoin goes higher. I think the next leg is towards $90K, and how Bitcoin reacts from there is what’s important. If Bitcoin legs up to $90K, as Cred is discussing in his video, $XRP probably legs up towards the $2 region. If both of those things happen, it’s going to take a significant move and a structural break for Bitcoin to come all the way back down to $60K. Now, if we use our comparison from the end of 2021 into the 2022 bear market and the transition into the next bull market, for us to continue following that fractal similarly, Bitcoin wouldn’t pull back that far after rallying towards $90K from this region. Depending on how low Bitcoin goes now, and whether it sweeps these lows, I think the likelihood of Bitcoin returning to the low $60Ks becomes smaller. With that being said, there’s a lot that can happen over the next few months. I also think it’s possible, and I try not to say this too often because it’s easy for people to jump on my work, that we could start to see a rotation from AI back into crypto. If that happens, I don’t necessarily see the lows being swept again. But I’m also not closed off to that discussion. Even when I make my YouTube videos, I say there is liquidity below us, but I don’t think we’re going for it. Right now, I don’t think we’re going for it. If that changes, I’ll let you know. But every single time someone releases content that isn’t aligned with yours, people come onto your posts asking, “What do you think about this?” Well, I think the honest answer is that I think what I say. Otherwise, I wouldn’t say it. But does that mean I’m going to be right? No. What Cred does, how he does it, and how he describes his thought process is extremely fair. We’re all just trying to piece together the puzzle we see in front of us. And that’s my honest opinion. Could what Cred is suggesting happen? Absolutely, yes. Is it my base case right now? No. But am I looking as far forward as Cred is in terms of what I’m looking for next? Also no. So let’s see.