Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,227 at 5 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,234 at 6 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC.
3. r = 2234.16 / 2226.58 − 1 = +0.3%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology