Published 5 Nov 2026, 21:59 UTC · fetched 5 Nov 2026, 22:32 UTC
Ash Crypto
@AshCrypto
In reply to · 5 Nov 2026, 21:59 UTC · context given to the AI
There's another side of this story that people are missing. Some Democratic leaders want to end the Iran war. Chuck Schumer has discussed using Congress's control over government spending to push for it. If the war ends, oil prices could fall, inflation could cool, and the Fed could face less pressure to raise rates. That is good for both stocks and crypto. Markets are expecting the worst right now. But the worst isn't guaranteed.Now let’s zoom out. Look at Bitcoin’s reported performance in the 12 months after previous US midterm elections: 2014: +24.5% 2018: +44.9% 2022: +92.3% And none of those periods were easy. In 2014, Bitcoin was dealing with the Mt. Gox collapse. In 2018, it was going through a major bear market. In 2022, FTX collapsed just days after the elections. Bitcoin has survived some brutal crashes. That doesn’t guarantee another rally, but one terrible day doesn’t mean everything is over.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Awaiting manual review
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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