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RAFA · Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

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Leaderboard / @exitpumpBTC / 2118450822895825365:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 Nov 2026, 21:10 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

ex

exitpump

@exitpumpBTC

Anything below 75K $BTC and 2.2K $ETH is a buy and hold for me.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,225 at 5 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,238 at 6 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC.
r = 2237.55 / 2225.21 − 1 = +0.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Anything below 75K $BTC and 2.2K $ETH is a buy and hold for me.”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$2,225

Evaluation price

$2,238

Move

+0.6%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 15:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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