Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 Nov 2026, 11:54 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

In reply to · 5 Nov 2026, 11:53 UTC · context given to the AI

1 Bitcoin price November 5, 2024: $75k November 5, 2026: $80k

@stats_feed November 5, 2027: $180k... lets go

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@stats_feed November 5, 2027: $180k... lets go”
Confidence: 81%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (81%); Unsupported horizon: "unspecified timeframe"
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3