Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,188 at 5 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,950 at 6 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 75950 / 80188.41 − 1 = -5.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -5.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology