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Leaderboard / @George1Trader / 2118260138066993391:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 5 Nov 2026, 08:32 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Ge

George

@George1Trader

Added to longs we're going higher #bitcoin

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,422 at 5 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,556 at 6 Nov 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 75555.67 / 80422.31 − 1 = -6.1%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -6.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#bitcoin”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$80,422

Evaluation price

$75,556

Move

-6.1%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 15:12 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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