Published 5 Nov 2026, 08:22 UTC · fetched 5 Nov 2026, 08:25 UTC
Ed_NL
@Crypto_Ed_NL
#btc update chart left: the blue path on the left was my expectation from ~3 weeks ago. Still following that or let's say "not invalidated and still possible" I gave 2 scenarios to follow the blue path: the blue and red. Meanwhile we are following red (chart left) with the goal to complete the blue path with a sweep of those lows. Still looking for a sweep lower but also getting closer to invalidation.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 75555.67 / 80422.31 − 1 = -6.1%d × r = +6.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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