Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,044 at 4 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,985 at 5 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 75985.05 / 80044.02 − 1 = -5.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +5.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology