Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,462 at 4 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,270 at 5 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 76270.12 / 80461.6 − 1 = -5.2%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -5.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology