Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,424 at 4 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,250 at 5 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 2249.59 / 2423.9 − 1 = -7.2%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -7.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology