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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 4 Nov 2026, 09:14 UTC · fetched 4 Nov 2026, 09:15 UTC

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

markets go up after every midterm $btc 3 for 3 the year after with an avg of +54%..... s&p 19 for 19 since 1950 a president with no congress means nothing passes nothing passing is the most bullish setup there is up-only szn is here https://t.co/UMLUMWMdmb

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,278 at 4 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,375 at 5 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 80374.64 / 78278.47 − 1 = +2.7%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$btc 3 for 3 the year after with an avg of +54%.....”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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