Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,803 at 3 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,155 at 4 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC.
3. r = 80155.43 / 77803.01 − 1 = +3.0%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +3.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology